We still don't have a good fix on next year's U.S. sales. They have been in the dumps since the big giveaway last summer. Plus, the war in Iraq is depressing, and interest rates are climbing. On the plus side, gasoline prices seem on their way down. If 2006 turns out to be the poor year many analysts predict, conventional wisdom says General Motors and Ford will suffer while Toyota, Nissan, Honda and the Koreans will keep rolling. And BMW is BMW. But hear this: An industry decline ...

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