U.S. sales will outrun year ago for the 14th consecutive month in October, with Ward's forecasting a large gain over 1998 levels. Ward's also is forecasting a fourth straight month with a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) above 17 million. The danger of forecasting this month is the uncertainty surrounding how much the economy really is slowing — if it is slowing at all — and how soon it will affect the automotive retail market. Most of the indicators — seasonal patterns, production ...

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