Don’t expect Iraq’s oil export ban to have significant effect on the revived U.S. economy – not now, nor next year. So says economist Dan Santini, who has developed a downturn-prediction theory based on fuel price hikes, auto sales slumps and the passage of time. It’s a pattern the U.S. economy has followed since the late 1800s, says Santini, a researcher at Argonne National Laboratory. "According to his theory, after a fuel price increase, motor vehicle sales and output ...

Premium Content (PAID Subscription Required)

"Printer-friendly" is part of the paid WardsAuto Premium content. You must log in with Premium credentials in order to access this article. Premium paid subscribers also gain access to:

  All of WardsAuto's reliable, in-depth industry reporting and analysis
  Hundreds of downloadable data tables including:
  •   Global sales and production data by country
  •   U.S. model-line inventory data
  •   Engine and equipment installation rates
  •   WardsAuto's North America Plant by Platform forecast
  •   Product Cycle chart
  •   Interrelationships among major OEMs
  •   Medium- and heavy-duty truck volumes
   •  Historical data and much more!

For pricing and subscription information please contact
Amber McLincha by email: or phone: (248) 799-2622

Current subscribers, please login or CLICK for support information.

Already registered? here.