TOKYO – The Japanese are not sure whether what they see at the end of their dark economic tunnel is a faint glimmer of light or a mirage. Some, such as Mamoru Yamazaki, chief economist-Barclays Capital Japan, are more optimistic than others. Encouraged by the increase in industrial production and exports, he says: "Recovery has begun, but the pace is slow." However, a multitude of false starts and disappointments since the economic bubble burst here more than 10 years ago ...

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