The U.S. automotive market is considered mature, but that doesn’t mean it can’t grow by another million units or so. Based on a trend analysis by Ward's beginning with 1960, annual U.S. sales should surpass the 18 million mark some time in the latter half of the decade. But the data also indicate a good-size drop – possibly to around 15 million units – is likely, as well. The first two years (2000-2001) of the new millennium averaged about 17.2 million, so anything above 18 million would ...

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